Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 10.414550 11.662478 13.011999 14.581680 16.359596 18.313547 20.627304
2025-04-13 8.204577 9.784195 11.612259 13.890930 16.664576 19.942903 24.128774
2025-04-20 6.914941 8.722793 10.946311 13.897695 17.735591 22.588613 29.239759
2025-04-27 5.960058 7.916095 10.460814 14.042306 18.998433 25.680931 35.485129
2025-05-04 5.137412 7.153565 9.915618 14.020492 20.042141 28.670242 42.182655
2025-05-11 4.361795 6.339076 9.178260 13.613945 20.481937 30.897721 48.246611
2025-05-18 3.756555 5.679858 8.564772 13.287771 20.983039 33.301670 55.072696
2025-05-25 3.273710 5.134898 8.042484 13.016239 21.520213 35.853278 62.671505
2025-06-01 2.895714 4.700854 7.630718 12.855269 22.208102 38.771981 71.527366
2025-06-08 2.591469 4.344957 7.295318 12.768006 23.004660 42.018438 81.694237
2025-06-15 2.402184 4.157170 7.216579 13.117654 24.649640 47.119754 96.633311
2025-06-22 2.172393 3.867844 6.919280 13.017010 25.418558 50.668652 109.187270
2025-06-29 1.935287 3.541063 6.521364 12.684864 25.717850 53.423714 120.923000
2025-07-06 1.743036 3.273978 6.200762 12.458057 26.200650 56.677121 134.684110
2025-07-13 1.631116 3.147447 6.136189 12.750002 27.861772 62.896973 157.386848
2025-07-20 1.536727 3.043650 6.103194 13.105311 29.737998 70.030324 184.515052
2025-07-27 1.433099 2.907983 5.986300 13.256869 31.170831 76.411791 211.527909
2025-08-03 1.306955 2.709799 5.710789 13.001854 31.568817 80.263397 232.475341
2025-08-10 1.198193 2.536285 5.467505 12.786496 32.032244 84.406141 255.638904
2025-08-17 1.103132 2.381993 5.248233 12.596826 32.532545 88.778371 280.983986
2025-08-24 1.023820 2.254149 5.074072 12.494599 33.255843 93.971051 310.842690
2025-08-31 0.955935 2.144957 4.930474 12.450062 34.137569 99.857489 345.212367
2025-09-07 0.918178 2.102332 4.942137 12.821559 36.304851 110.267880 400.075463